Showing posts with label Oscar predictions; Awards. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oscar predictions; Awards. Show all posts

Sunday, 26 February 2012

That special time of year: Oscar predictions

Here we go: After much thought and seeing a couple of movies, but not as many as last year or this guy:

The best actor race is a curious one. I am pretty certain it is in the bag, but I actually would be thrilled by a Gary Oldman upset. If George Clooney wins I will be shocked and annoyed, because it'll be the second time I wished 2 other people got the award ahead of him. Also I would have loved Michael Fassbender to be nominated for Shame.

The women, a nice range of nominated roles both for lead and supporting actress. I have lost an article I wanted to reference on this, which I will post in the comments if I track it down. But are there any more different women than Marilyn Monroe, Maggie Thatcher, Lisbeth Salander and Megan from Bridemaids!

As I haven't seen as many films as usual, my technical category picks are pretty much out and out guesses - whatever I put for these categories I basically thought, well if it's not...then it'll be Hugo.

Screenplay - my most consistently poor prediction record. I went for Tinker Tailor... out of patriotism and because Peter Straughan's bafta acceptance speech, was eloquent and elegant and brought tears to my eyes.

See you on the other side, and we can laugh about how crazy I was thinking Hugo would beat The tree of Life for Cinematography.

Happy viewing.

BEST PICTURE: THE ARTIST
BEST DIRECTOR: Michel Hazanavicius, THE ARTIST
BEST ACTOR: Jean Dujardin, THE ARTIST
BEST ACTRESS: Viola Davis, THE HELP
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christopher Plummer, BEGINNERS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Octavia Spencer, THE HELP
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: TINKER, TAILOR, SOLDIER, SPY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
BEST ART DIRECTION: HUGO
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: HUGO
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: THE ARTIST
BEST EDITING: THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
BEST MAKEUP: HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: THE ARTIST
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: “Man or Muppet,” THE MUPPETS
BEST SOUND EDITING: HUGO (this was DRIVE until this morning)
BEST SOUND MIXING: THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: RANGO (I actually want Chico and Rita to win)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: PINA
BEST FOREIGN FILM: A SEPARATION
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM: TIME FREAK
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: DIMANCHE/SUNDAY
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM: THE BARBER OF BIRMINGHAM: FOOT SOLDIER OF THE CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT (because if a film mentions Birmingham, any Birmingham, it gets my vote!)

Friday, 25 February 2011

Oscars 2011 predictions

Best Picture. Toy Story 3 was the best of these IMHO, but I would be stunned if it won. Next for me was Winter's Bone. I still haven't seen True Grit (I'm watching it on sunday-very close to the wire!) but my 3 horses in this race are Inception (if Titantic can be LA Confidential this is possible), The Kings Speech and The Social Network. I'm going to go for The Kings Speech based on number of nominations although my heart thinks The Social Network may win.

Actor in a Leading Role. Colin Firth for the win

Actress in a Leading Role. Natalie Portman - the first of my "and the award for dedication to getting thin". A fantastic performance and a deserved win. Very glad Jennifer Lawrence was nominated.

Actor in a Supporting Role: Christian Bale - the second of my "commitment to my craft" oscars. Has he ever won one? If not, again a career of fantastic acting finally rewarded.

Actress in a Supporting Role: Always a toughie, I think Melissa Leo will edge it as the academy has had their eye on her for a while. Although the same could be said of Amy Adams. I always find this category torture to predict. (Well not last year, but usually). Right I'm going for Jacki Weaver because she's the character I'd be most terrified of meeting.

Directing: I want Aranofsky, I think David Fincher will get it.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay): The Social Network. There can and should be no other winner.

Writing (Original Screenplay): Whilst Inception was truly orginal, The Kids Are Alright was very well written so that's my bet.

Animated Feature Film: Toy Story 3. As I said, actually my Best Film of the year.

Art Direction: Alice In Wonderland - although The Kings Speech set was designed by a Brit from the West Midlands so if she wins I'll be happy.

Cinematography. Roger Deakins has been nominated 9 times without a win. It needs to be done.

Costume Design. I hate betting against Sandy Powell, who I suspect has won every time she was nominated in the past, but the costumes for Alice In Wonderland were superb and so that's where my money is.

Documentary (Feature): No clue. I think Restrepo will get it, but both Exit Through The Gift Shop and Inside Job are very popular which would be a more similar choice to last year's The Cove.

Film Editing: The Social Network was a pretty amazing job.

Foreign Language Film: I always like these more than the Best Film nominees so it's a bit Sophie's choice for me. I haven't been able to see them all but I didn't really care about Biuitful and whilst I love Susanne Bier (In a Better World) and loved Days of Glory by the director of Outside The Law, I think Incendies might take it.

Makeup. The Wolfman. No clue, based purely on Rick Baker's form.

Music (Original Score). Between The Social Network and The Kings Speech in my opinion. The Kings Speech.

Music (Original Song). Randy Newman for Toy Story 3. That man knows how to torture the heartstrings.

Sound Editing. Inception - because it will win well in technical categories

Sound Mixing. The Social Network - I totally stole this one from Roger Ebert - he should know.

Visual Effects. Inception. Folding Paris alone is an achievement and there were several more which made me watch this film twice.

I've only watched Day and Night so based on an online trailer of the shorts nominees.

Documentary (short subject): Killing in the name.

Short Film (Animated): Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary). I wanted to hunt this down to watch it based on the trailer.

Short Film (Live Action): Na Wewe. This one looked like it had the potential to be a feature based on about 4 seconds of footage.